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Post by Bill on Apr 21, 2024 22:46:45 GMT
It could still go to last game.
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Post by alanwycombe on Apr 22, 2024 8:05:57 GMT
If Sheff Wed win their next game and Brum fail to lose to Huddersfield then assuming we lose to Leeds (which I am not convinced we will but is possible) then it would go to the last game and both could overtake us. We still need to finish above one other now Rotherham and Huddersfield can't catch us. Let’s hope they don’t turn up for work today thinking they’ve done it. |
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Post by 2Loftus on Apr 22, 2024 8:30:04 GMT
Not going to tempt fate until we are mathematically safe...
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Post by Stanley75 on Apr 22, 2024 9:48:19 GMT
Interesting to see Stoke and QPR on identical points and identical GD!
They're only above us as they've scored three more goals...
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Post by croydoncaptainjack on Apr 22, 2024 10:17:17 GMT
Interesting to see Stoke and QPR on identical points and identical GD! They're only above us as they've scored three more goals... Coincidentally I was looking at them earlier. They have Southampton away. They may well ship a few there and potentially more than us if we lose (which I am not saying we will). That would leave them below us for their last game at home to Bristol City who are ticking along nicely. I don't think they are out of the woods yet either. |
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Post by Stanley75 on Apr 22, 2024 10:34:47 GMT
If Sheff Wed win their next game and Brum fail to lose to Huddersfield then assuming we lose to Leeds (which I am not convinced we will but is possible) then it would go to the last game and both could overtake us. We still need to finish above one other now Rotherham and Huddersfield can't catch us. Our 0-2 home loss against them two weeks ago was a massive result. Sucked us back in and pulled them out.... |
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Post by croydoncaptainjack on Apr 22, 2024 11:04:08 GMT
If Sheff Wed win their next game and Brum fail to lose to Huddersfield then assuming we lose to Leeds (which I am not convinced we will but is possible) then it would go to the last game and both could overtake us. We still need to finish above one other now Rotherham and Huddersfield can't catch us. Our 0-2 home loss against them two weeks ago was a massive result. Sucked us back in and pulled them out.... Yes, shocking result. I think they will pull out of it. I am hoping Huddersfield beat Brum. Ideally one nil. |
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Post by stainrodisalegend on Apr 22, 2024 11:11:23 GMT
47 could still be enough tbh. Brum have Huddersfield (could see that being a draw) and then Norwich.
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Post by 2Loftus on Apr 22, 2024 11:14:50 GMT
 Beat Leeds and we're safe. As General said, if Huddersfield beat Birmingham on Saturday, neither of them catch us, even if we lose our last 2 games. Well, technically Huddersfield could with an absolutely massive GD shift... |
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Post by jfrabbit on Apr 22, 2024 12:53:42 GMT
Our 0-2 home loss against them two weeks ago was a massive result. Sucked us back in and pulled them out.... Yes, shocking result. I think they will pull out of it. I am hoping Huddersfield beat Brum. Ideally one nil. That and Stoke away two worst results under Marti IMO. |
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Post by Ginger Ninja on Apr 22, 2024 13:03:59 GMT
If we draw vs Leeds then a draw between Brum and Hudds or a Hudds would be enough to keep us up.
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Post by 2Loftus on Apr 22, 2024 20:22:23 GMT
Average bookie odds for relegation...  |
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Post by Ginger Ninja on Apr 22, 2024 21:49:53 GMT
Average bookie odds for relegation... Worth a tenner 👀 |
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Post by croydoncaptainjack on Apr 23, 2024 9:02:28 GMT
Someone on LFW got 250 to 1 on the way out of the ground on Saturday on Betfair I think. He wants to lose but said it would soften the blow and pay for his season ticket etc. Best now is 50-1 I think
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Post by hal9thou on Apr 23, 2024 12:32:27 GMT
Average bookie odds for relegation... I've just looked on oddschecker at all the available prices and we're as short as 25s with some firms. That does not square with a 1.76% chance of the drop. |
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Post by 2Loftus on Apr 23, 2024 12:48:02 GMT
Average bookie odds for relegation... I've just looked on oddschecker at all the available prices and we're as short as 25s with some firms. That does not square with a 1.76% chance of the drop. Fair enough. Just borrowed the table from a Twatter post saying the figures were averaged from several sources. Agree, 1.76% chance of relegation does seem overly optimistic… |
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Post by stainrodisalegend on Apr 23, 2024 15:05:36 GMT
Probably the biggest danger now is complacency among the players. Because teams are so evenly matched in the Champ its that extra level of intensity that is decisive at this stage of the season (look at us v Preston). If we think its job done and piss about like we did against Sheffield Wednesday then its zero more points and a very outside chance that an extraordinary set of results could still sink us. But play with the intensity we showed against Preston and there is no way we can go down as other results will become irrelevant.
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Post by 2Loftus on Apr 23, 2024 18:19:51 GMT
One good thing is that Huddersfield and Birmingham can’t both finish above us, given that they play each other at the weekend.
So we are battling as one of six teams to avoid the last relegation spot.
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Post by The General on Apr 23, 2024 20:05:56 GMT
Anyone know how we are going to stop
Leeds on Friday night they look rampant
Park the bus jose
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Post by The General on Apr 23, 2024 20:06:34 GMT
One good thing is that Huddersfield and Birmingham can’t both finish above us, given that they play each other at the weekend. So we are battling as one of six teams to avoid the last relegation spot. Yes good point this |
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Post by acricketer on Apr 23, 2024 20:54:06 GMT
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Post by 2Loftus on Apr 24, 2024 9:11:40 GMT
In theory, I'm very happy with that. In practice, it's still in the lap of the Gods...  |
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Post by croydoncaptainjack on Apr 24, 2024 9:23:01 GMT
Why do my nerves feel like it is more than 0.6%?
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Post by BrightonR on Apr 24, 2024 10:27:10 GMT
Why do my nerves feel like it is more than 0.6%? Because it’s way higher than that. Still perfectly possible and nowhere near a foregone conclusion, but the reality is, we are in a better position than the other lot. Can’t believe it’s still in our hands after some of the performances we’ve delivered. I fully expect it to be sorted by Saturday afternoon, if not Friday night. |
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Post by stainrodisalegend on Apr 24, 2024 10:49:00 GMT
On a positive, I can remember before Christmas that even teams like Plymouth and Huddersfield looked like world beaters against us. Even when we scraped a result it was so incredibly backs to the wall. Now, in terms of open play, think we can look competitive against most teams in this division. Lack of goals is obvs a massive handicap but we can now go to places like Plymouth and out-play them. To me we now look a mid-table side, not one facing relegation.
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Post by hal9thou on Apr 24, 2024 13:36:58 GMT
Why do my nerves feel like it is more than 0.6%?
because the stats being banded about only reflect possibilities formulated on odds, ie opinion.
That's why you can find between 25s and 50s for us to take the drop.
Saying the sun will rise tomorrow is a reflection of probability based on millenia of data.
Saying Sheffield Wednesday will get relegated (for example) is a possibility based on opinion.
IMO you should be around 15% nerves  |
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Post by croydoncaptainjack on Apr 24, 2024 14:59:42 GMT
Why do my nerves feel like it is more than 0.6%?
because the stats being banded about only reflect possibilities formulated on odds, ie opinion.
That's why you can find between 25s and 50s for us to take the drop.
Saying the sun will rise tomorrow is a reflection of probability based on millenia of data.
Saying Sheffield Wednesday will get relegated (for example) is a possibility based on opinion.
IMO you should be around 15% nerves Thanks, that feels much better  |
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Post by West Acton on Apr 24, 2024 20:52:29 GMT
Coventry season virtually over after that result
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Post by 1qprdk on Apr 24, 2024 21:03:23 GMT
Coventry season virtually over after that result Gives us a better chance if we need a point on the final day👍 |
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Post by acricketer on Apr 24, 2024 21:20:34 GMT
Knocked out of the cup, out of the playoffs.. Give us a walkover!
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